TY - JOUR AU - Dooley,Michael P. AU - Folkerts-Landau,David AU - Garber,Peter M. TI - Bretton Woods II Still Defines the International Monetary System JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14731 PY - 2009 Y2 - February 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14731 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14731.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Michael P. Dooley Department of Economics Engineering II University of California, Santa Cruz Santa Cruz, CA 95064 Tel: 831/459 3662 Fax: 831/459-5077 E-Mail: MPD@UCSC.EDU David Folkerts-Landau Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank AG London 1 Great Winchester Street London EC2 2EQ United Kingdom E-Mail: david.folkerts-landau@db.com Peter M. Garber Deutsche Bank 60 Wall Street New York, NY 10005 Tel: 212/250-5466 Fax: 212/250-2628 E-Mail: peter.garber@db.com AB - In this paper we argue that net capital inflows to the United States did not cause the financial crisis that now engulfs the world economy. A crisis caused by such flows has been widely predicted but that crisis has not occurred. Indeed, the international monetary system still operates in the way described by the Bretton Woods II framework and is likely to continue to do so. Failure to properly identify the causes of the current crisis risks a rise in protectionism that could intensify and prolong the decline in economic activity around the world. ER -