TY - JOUR AU - Holmes,Thomas J. AU - Lee,Sanghoon TI - Economies of Density versus Natural Advantage: Crop Choice on the Back Forty JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14704 PY - 2009 Y2 - February 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14704 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14704.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Thomas J. Holmes Department of Economics University of Minnesota 4-101 Hanson Hall 1925 Fourth Street South Minneapolis, MN 55455 Tel: 612/625-4512 Fax: 612/624-0209 E-Mail: holmes@umn.edu Sanghoon Lee Sauder School of Business University of British Columbia 2053 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T1Z2, Canada E-Mail: Sanghoon.Lee@sauder.ubc.ca AB - We estimate the factors determining specialization of crop choice at the level of individual fields, distinguishing between the role of natural advantage (soil characteristics) and economies of density (scale economies achieved when farmers plant neighboring fields with the same crop). Using rich geographic data from North Dakota, including new data on crop choice collected by satellite, we estimate the analog of a social interactions econometric model for the planting decisions on neighboring fields. We find that planting decisions on a field are heavily dependent on the soil characteristics of the neighboring fields. Through this relationship, we back out the structural parameters of economies of density. Setting an Ellison-Glaeser dartboard level of specialization as a benchmark, we find that of the actual level of specialization achieved beyond this benchmark, approximately two-thirds can be attributed to natural advantage and one-third to density economies. ER -