TY - JOUR AU - Davis,Joseph H. AU - Hanes,Christopher AU - Rhode,Paul W. TI - Harvests and Business Cycles in Nineteenth-Century America JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14686 PY - 2009 Y2 - January 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14686 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14686.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Christopher Hanes Dept. of Economics SUNY Binghamton P.O. Box 6000 Binghamton, NY 13902-6000 E-Mail: chanes@binghamton.edu Paul Rhode Economics Department University of Michigan 205 Lorch Hall 611 Tappan St. Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/647-5603 Fax: 734/764-2769 E-Mail: pwrhode@umich.edu AB - Most major American industrial business cycles from around 1880 to the First World War were caused by fluctuations in the size of the cotton harvest due to economically exogenous factors such as weather. Wheat and corn harvests did not affect industrial production; nor did the cotton harvest before the late 1870s. The unique effect of the cotton harvest in this period can be explained as an essentially monetary phenomenon, the result of interactions between harvests, international gold flows and high-powered money demand under America's gold-standard regime of 1879-1914. ER -