@techreport{NBERw1465, title = "International Comparison of the Sources of Productivity Slowdown 1973 1982", author = "John F. Helliwell and Peter Sturm and Gerard Salou", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "1465", year = "1985", month = "November", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w1465", abstract = {This paper uses an integrated model of aggregate supply to analyze the post-1973 slowdown in productivity growth in the seven major OECD economies. Factor substitution, unexpected demand changes, profitability, and inventory disequilibrium all contribute to the explanation, which is based on a three-factor nested aggregate production function, including energy, and postulating Harrod-neutral disembodied technical progress. The model is first applied separately to the seven countries assuming constant (though country-specific) rates of technical progress. This model provides empirical evidence that this rate of progress has in fact slowed down for several of the faster-growing countries, even after adjusting for factor substitution and cyclical factors. The model is therefore re-estimated, and the sources of productivity decline recalculated, on the hypothesis that rates of efficiency growth in other countries are converging to those in the United States.}, }