TY - JOUR AU - Blonigen,Bruce TI - New Evidence on the Formation of Trade Policy Preferences JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14627 PY - 2008 Y2 - December 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14627 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14627.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Bruce Blonigen Department of Economics 1285 University of Oregon Eugene, OR 97403-1285 Tel: 541/346-4680 Fax: 541/346-1243 E-Mail: bruceb@uoregon.edu AB - This paper revisits the issue of people's preferences for international trade protection examining survey data from the American National Election Studies. I first show that both an individual's skills and the international trade characteristics of their employment industry affects their trade policy preferences, in contrast to previous analysis using these data. Second, I document that many people do not feel informed enough to state a preference on trade protection, which is inconsistent with assumptions of standard political economy models. I examine the factors that correlate with being uninformed, and show that inferences from actual trade policy outcomes can be incorrect if one does not account for this uninformed group. Finally, I examine and find that individuals' retirement decisions have systematic effects on both their choice to be informed and their trade policy preferences. This highlights that there are significant life-cycle implications to trade policy preferences. ER -