TY - JOUR AU - Kane,Thomas J. AU - Staiger,Douglas O. TI - Estimating Teacher Impacts on Student Achievement: An Experimental Evaluation JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14607 PY - 2008 Y2 - December 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14607 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14607.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Thomas J. Kane Harvard Graduate School of Education Center for Education Policy Research 50 Church St., 4th Floor Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-4359 E-Mail: kaneto@gse.harvard.edu Douglas O. Staiger Dartmouth College Department of Economics HB6106, 301 Rockefeller Hall Hanover, NH 03755-3514 Tel: 603/646-2979 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: douglas.staiger@dartmouth.edu AB - We used a random-assignment experiment in Los Angeles Unified School District to evaluate various non-experimental methods for estimating teacher effects on student test scores. Having estimated teacher effects during a pre-experimental period, we used these estimates to predict student achievement following random assignment of teachers to classrooms. While all of the teacher effect estimates we considered were significant predictors of student achievement under random assignment, those that controlled for prior student test scores yielded unbiased predictions and those that further controlled for mean classroom characteristics yielded the best prediction accuracy. In both the experimental and non-experimental data, we found that teacher effects faded out by roughly 50 percent per year in the two years following teacher assignment. ER -