@techreport{NBERw14463, title = "An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model", author = "Jens H.E. Christensen and Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "14463", year = "2008", month = "November", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w14463", abstract = {The Svensson generalization of the popular Nelson-Siegel term structure model is widely used by practitioners and central banks. Unfortunately, like the original Nelson-Siegel specification, this generalization, in its dynamic form, does not enforce arbitrage-free consistency over time. Indeed, we show that the factor loadings of the Svensson generalization cannot be obtained in a standard finance arbitrage-free affine term structure representation. Therefore, we introduce a closely related generalized Nelson-Siegel model on which the no-arbitrage condition can be imposed. We estimate this new arbitrage-free generalized Nelson-Siegel model and demonstrate its tractability and good in-sample fit.}, }