@techreport{NBERw14446, title = "Market Responses to the Panic of 2008", author = "Casey Mulligan and Luke Threinen", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "14446", year = "2008", month = "October", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w14446", abstract = {We model the panic of 2008 as part of the wealth and substitution effects deriving from a housing price crash that began in 2006. The dissipation of the wealth effect stimulates a reorganization of the banking industry and increases in employment, GDP, and unemployment. The release of resources from the housing sector lowers investment goods prices, and thereby devalues existing non-residential capital while stimulating non-residential investment. These predictions are compared with measured U.S. economic performance from 2006 to 2008 Q2.}, }