TY - JOUR AU - Zivin,Joshua Graff AU - Neidell,Matthew TI - Days of Haze: Environmental Information Disclosure and Intertemporal Avoidance Behavior JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14271 PY - 2008 Y2 - August 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14271 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14271.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joshua S. Graff Zivin University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive, MC 0519 La Jolla, CA 92093-0519 Tel: 858/822-6438 E-Mail: jgraffzivin@ucsd.edu Matthew J. Neidell Department of Health Policy and Management Columbia University 600 W 168th Street, 6th Floor New York, NY 10032 Tel: 212/342-4522 Fax: 212/305-3405 E-Mail: mn2191@columbia.edu AB - In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of informational regulatory approaches by analyzing the impact of smog alerts issued on consecutive days on discretionary outdoor activities in Southern California. Short-run adjustments to transitory risk entail costs that are likely to influence the set of evasive actions pursued by those at risk. Our results confirm that the cost of intertemporally substituting activities is increasing over time: when alerts are issued on two successive days, any response on the first day has largely disappeared by the second day. Small reprieves from alerts, however, reset these costs. Our findings imply that a time-varying decision rule that accounts for multiple day air quality forecasts may improve social welfare. ER -