TY - JOUR AU - Murray,Brian C. AU - Newell,Richard G. AU - Pizer,William A. TI - Balancing Cost and Emissions Certainty: An Allowance Reserve for Cap-and-Trade JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14258 PY - 2008 Y2 - August 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14258 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14258.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Brian C. Murray Duke University Box 90328 Durham, NC 27708 E-Mail: bcmurray@duke.edu Richard G. Newell Nicholas School of the Environment Duke University Box 90227 Durham, NC 27708 Tel: 919/681-8663 Fax: 919/684-5833 E-Mail: richard.newell@duke.edu William A. Pizer Sanford School of Public Policy Duke University Box 90312 Durham, NC 27708 Tel: 919/613-9286 Fax: 877/240-9880 E-Mail: billy.pizer@duke.edu AB - On efficiency grounds, the economics community has to date tended to emphasize price-based policies to address climate change -- such as taxes or a "safety-valve" price ceiling for cap-and-trade -- while environmental advocates have sought a more clear quantitative limit on emissions. This paper presents a simple modification to the idea of a safety valve: a quantitative limit that we call the allowance reserve. Importantly, this idea may bridge the gap between competing interests and potentially improve efficiency relative to tax or other price-based policies. The last point highlights the deficiencies in several previous studies of price and quantity controls for climate change that do not adequately capture the dynamic opportunities within a cap-and-trade system for allowance banking, borrowing, and intertemporal arbitrage in response to unfolding information. ER -