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Graciela L. Kaminsky
NBER Working Paper No. 14249*
Issued in August 2008
NBER Program(s): IFM
An NBER digest for this paper is available.
---- Abstract -----
The crises in Mexico, Thailand, and Russia in the 1990s spread quite rapidly to countries as far apart as South Africa and Pakistan. In the aftermath of these crises, many emerging economies lost access to international capital markets. Using data on international primary issuance, this paper studies the determinants of contagion and sudden stops following those crises. The results indicate that contagion and sudden stops tend to occur in economies with financial fragility and current account problems. They also show that high integration in international capital markets exposes countries to sudden stops even in the absence of domestic vulnerabilities.
*Published: Graciela L. Kaminsky, 2008.
"Crises and Sudden Stops: Evidence from International Bond and Syndicated-Loan Markets,"
Monetary and Economic Studies,
Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 26, pages 107-130, December.
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