TY  - JOUR
AU  - Buser,Stephen A.
AU  - Hendershott,Patric H.
TI  - The Pricing of Default-Free Mortgages
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 1408
PY  - 1985
Y2  - October 1985
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w1408
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w1408.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Patric H. Hendershott
Fisher Hall
Ohio State University
2100 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210
Tel: 218/963-1393
Fax: 218/963-9484
E-Mail: hendershott.2@osu.edu
AB  - In this paperwe examine the household's option to prepay or call a standard fixed-rate mortgage. Results based on simulation indicate that the value of this option is sensitive to the expected path of interest rates, the variation around that path, risk aversion and refinancing costs. Unfortunately, efforts to estimate the interest rate process (by us and by previous authors) have met with only limited success, and uncertainty exists regarding the degree of risk aversion and the magnitude of refinancing costs.Thus we conclude that the application of contingent-claims methodology to options on bonds is conceptually more difficult and operationally less reliable than is the analogous application to options on stocks.Despite these reservations concerning the use of our model as a technique for absolute valuation, preliminary findings on the effects of changes in mortgage contract design on the value of the prepayment option are encouraging. For example, our estimate of the relative values of the call options on 30- and 15-year mortgages and on level-payment and graduated-payment mortgages appear to be reasonably robust with respect to specifications of the interestrate process and the other parameters.These findings suggest that our model may be of considerable use within the context of relative or comparative valuation.
ER  -