@techreport{NBERw14054, title = "Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?", author = "A. Craig Burnside and Martin S. Eichenbaum and Isaac Kleshchelski and Sergio Rebelo", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "14054", year = "2008", month = "June", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w14054", abstract = {We study the properties of the carry trade, a currency speculation strategy in which an investor borrows low-interest-rate currencies and lends high-interest-rate currencies. This strategy generates payoffs which are on average large and uncorrelated with traditional risk factors. We argue that these payoffs reflect a peso problem. The underlying peso event features high values of the stochastic discount factor rather than very large negative payoffs.}, }