TY - JOUR AU - Kuhn,Peter J. AU - Kooreman,Peter AU - Soetevent,Adriaan R. AU - Kapteyn,Arie TI - The Own and Social Effects of an Unexpected Income Shock: Evidence from the Dutch Postcode Lottery JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14035 PY - 2008 Y2 - May 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14035 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14035.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Peter J. Kuhn Department of Economics University of California, Santa Barbara 2127 North Hall Santa Barbara, CA 93106 Tel: 805/893-3666 Fax: 805/893-8830 E-Mail: pjkuhn@econ.ucsb.edu Peter Kooreman Tilburg University Room K 411 PO Box 90153 5000 LE Tilburg The Netherlands E-Mail: p.kooreman@uvt.nl Adriaan Soetevent Universiteit van Amsterdam Faculty of Economics and Business Roetersstraat 11 1018 WB Amsterdam The Netherlands E-Mail: a.r.soetevent@uva.nl Arie Kapteyn RAND Corporation 1776 Main Street P.O. Box 2138 Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 Tel: (310) 393-0411 x 7973 E-Mail: arie_kapteyn@rand.org AB - In the Dutch Postcode Lottery a postal code (19 households on average) is randomly selected weekly, and prizes - consisting of cash and a new BMW - are awarded to lottery participants living in that postal code. On average, this generates a temporary, unexpected income shock equal to about eight months of income for about one third of the households in a typical winning code, while leaving the incomes of nonwinning, neighboring households unaffected. We study the responses of consumption and reported happiness of both winners and nonwinners to these shocks. Consistent with simple models of in-kind transfers, the overwhelming majority of households who won a BMW convert it into cash. With the exception of food away from home, the only 'own' effects of cash winnings we detect are on durables expenditures and car consumption; these results support a version of the permanent income hypothesis in which durable spending is used to smooth consumption. We detect social effects of neighbors' winnings on two types of consumption: cars and exterior home renovations. Six months after the fact, winning the lottery does not make households happier, nor do neighbors' winnings reduce happiness. ER -