TY - JOUR AU - Arkolakis,Costas AU - Demidova,Svetlana AU - Klenow,Peter J. AU - Rodríguez-Clare,Andrés TI - Endogenous Variety and the Gains from Trade JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13933 PY - 2008 Y2 - April 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13933 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13933.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Costas Arkolakis Department of Economics Yale University, 28 Hillhouse Avenue P.O. Box 208268 New Haven, CT 06520-8268 Tel: 203/432-3527 Fax: 203/432-6323 E-Mail: costas.arkolakis@yale.edu Svetlana Demidova Department of Economics McMaster University Canada E-Mail: demidov@mcmaster.ca Peter J. Klenow Department of Economics 579 Serra Mall Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6072 Tel: 650/725-8169 Fax: NA E-Mail: Klenow@Stanford.edu Andres Rodriguez-Clare University of California at Berkeley Department of Economics Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 E-Mail: andres1000@gmail.com AB - We explore the implications of models with increasing returns, endogenous variety and firm-level heterogeneity for the quantification of the gains from trade. We first focus on the impact of trade liberalization on imported variety by analyzing the experience of Costa Rica from 1986 to 1992. We find that although liberalization triggered a sizable increase in variety, the resulting welfare gains were small because of strong heterogeneity across imported goods. Upon trade liberalization, the new varieties are imported in small quantities, and hence contribute little to welfare. We then present a model with firm-level increasing returns, differentiated goods, monopolistic competition, endogenous variety and free entry to show that total variety (domestic plus imported) can either increase, decrease or remain constant with trade liberalization. More importantly, the gains from trade do not depend on what happens to total variety. In fact, we find that, conditional on the estimated elasticities of trade with respect to trade costs, models with increasing returns, endogenous variety, free or restricted entry, and firm-level heterogeneity have exactly the same implications for welfare gains from trade liberalization as traditional models. ER -