@techreport{NBERw13892, title = "Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in DSGE Models: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach", author = "Lars E.O. Svensson and Noah Williams", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "13892", year = "2008", month = "March", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w13892", abstract = {We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different discrete modes in a Markov chain, and by taking mode-dependent linear-quadratic approximations of the underlying model. This allows us to apply a powerful methodology with convenient solution algorithms that we have developed. We apply our methods to a benchmark New Keynesian model, analyzing how policy is affected by uncertainty, and how learning and active experimentation affect policy and losses.}, }