TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bloom,David E.
AU  - Canning,David
AU  - Fink,Günther
AU  - Finlay,Jocelyn E.
TI  - Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation, and the Demographic Dividend
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 13583
PY  - 2007
Y2  - November 2007
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13583
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13583.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
David E. Bloom
Harvard School of Public Health
Department of Global Health and Population
665 Huntington Ave.
Boston, MA 02115
Tel: 617/432-0866
Fax: 617/432-6733
E-Mail: dbloom@hsph.harvard.edu

David Canning
Harvard School of Public Health
Department of Global Health and Population
665 Huntington Ave.
Boston, MA 02115
Tel: 617/432-6336
Fax: 617/566-0365
E-Mail: dcanning@hsph.harvard.edu

Günther Fink
Harvard School of Public Health
Department of Global Health and Population
665 Huntington Ave.
Boston, MA 02115
E-Mail: gfink@hsph.harvard.edu

Jocelyn E. Finlay
Harvard School of Public Health
Department of Global Health and Population
22 Plympton Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
Tel: 617-432-1232
E-Mail: jfinlay@hsph.harvard.edu
AB  - We estimate the effect of fertility on female labor force participation in a cross-country panel data set using abortion legislation as an instrument for fertility. We find a large negative effect of the fertility rate on female labor force participation. The direct effect is concentrated among those aged 20–39, but we find that cohort participation is persistent over time giving an effect among older women. We present a simulation model of the effect of fertility reduction on income per capita, taking into account these changes in female labor force participation as well as population numbers and age structure.
ER  -