TY - JOUR AU - Lubowski,Ruben N. AU - Plantinga,Andrew J. AU - Stavins,Robert N. TI - What Drives Land-Use Change in the United States? A National Analysis of Landowner Decisions JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13572 PY - 2007 Y2 - November 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13572 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13572.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ruben N.. Lubowski USDA Economic Research Service 1800 M Street, N.W., Room S4177 Washington, D.C. 20036 E-Mail: RLUBOWSKI@ers.usda.gov Andrew Plantinga Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics Oregon State University Rm #212B Ballard Extension Hall Corvallis, OR 97331-4501 E-Mail: Plantinga@oregonstate.edu Robert Stavins JFK School of Government Harvard University 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-1820 Fax: 617/496-3783 E-Mail: robert_stavins@harvard.edu AB - Land-use changes involve important economic and environmental effects with implications for international trade, global climate change, wildlife, and other policy issues. We use an econometric model to identify factors driving land-use change in the United States between 1982 and 1997. We quantify the effects of net returns to alternative land uses on private landowners' decisions to allocate land among six major uses, drawing on detailed micro-data on land use and land quality that are comprehensive of the contiguous U.S. This analysis provides the first evidence of the relative historical importance of markets and Federal farm policies affecting land-use changes nationally. ER -