TY - JOUR AU - Hassett,Kevin A. AU - Mathur,Aparna AU - Metcalf,Gilbert E. TI - The Incidence of a U.S. Carbon Tax: A Lifetime and Regional Analysis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13554 PY - 2007 Y2 - October 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13554 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13554.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Kevin Hassett American Enterprise Institute 1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20036 E-Mail: khassett@aei.org Aparna Mathur American Enterprise Institute 1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20036 E-Mail: amathur@aei.org Gilbert E. Metcalf Room 3221 Department of the Treasury Washington, DC 20220 1500 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Tel: 202-622-0173 E-Mail: gilbert.metcalf@tufts.edu AB - This paper measures the direct and indirect incidence of a carbon tax using current income and two measures of lifetime income to rank households. Our results suggest that carbon taxes are more regressive when annual income is used as a measure of economic welfare than when proxies for lifetime income are used. Further, the direct component of the tax, in any given year, is significantly more regressive than the indirect component. In fact, for 1987, the indirect component of the tax is mildly progressive. We observe a modest shift over time with the direct component of carbon taxes becoming less regressive and the indirect component becoming more regressive. These effects mostly offset each other and the distribution of the total tax burden has not changed much over time. In addition we find that regional variation has fluctuated over the years of our anlaysis. By 2003 there is little systematic variation in carbon tax burdens across regions of the country. ER -