TY - JOUR AU - Woodford,Michael TI - How Important is Money in the Conduct of Monetary Policy? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13325 PY - 2007 Y2 - August 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13325 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13325.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Michael Woodford Department of Economics Columbia University 420 W. 118th Street New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212/854-1094 Fax: 212-854-8059 E-Mail: mw2230@columbia.edu AB - I consider some of the leading arguments for assigning an important role to tracking the growth of monetary aggregates when making decisions about monetary policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or inconsistent with elementary economic principles. Third, I consider the implications for monetary policy strategy of the empirical evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. And fourth, I consider reasons why a monetary policy strategy based solely on short-run inflation forecasts derived from a Phillips curve may not be a reliable way of controlling inflation. I argue that none of these considerations provides a compelling reason to assign a prominent role to monetary aggregates in the conduct of monetary policy. ER -