@techreport{NBERw13307, title = "Investment Options and the Business Cycle", author = "Boyan Jovanovic", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "13307", year = "2007", month = "August", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w13307", abstract = {This paper extends Lucas (1978) to a production economy with two capital goods. It is an RBC model in which each unit of investment requires a new idea, an "option". When options are scarce, new capital is harder to put in place and the value of old capital rises. Thus the stock market and Tobin's Q are negative indexes of intangibles. During a boom, Q rises gradually, as options are used up. Because investment represents an exercise of options, it has an intertemporal substitution tradeoff that is absent in the adjustment-cost model. Equilibrium may be efficient even without markets for knowledge; the stock market may suffice.}, }