TY - JOUR AU - Poterba,James AU - Venti,Steven AU - Wise,David A. TI - The Decline of Defined Benefit Retirement Plans and Asset Flows JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12834 PY - 2007 Y2 - January 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12834 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12834.pdf N1 - Author contact info: James M. Poterba Department of Economics MIT, E52-350 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142-1347 Tel: 617/253-6673 Fax: 617/258-7804 E-Mail: poterba@nber.org Steven F. Venti Department of Economics 6106 Rockefeller Center Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755 Tel: 603/646-2526 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: steven.f.venti@dartmouth.edu David A. Wise NBER 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 E-Mail: dwise@nber.org M1 - published as James M. Poterba, Steven F. Venti, David A. Wise. "The Decline of Defined Benefit Retirement Plans and Asset Flows," in Jeffrey Brown, Jeffrey Liebman and David A. Wise, editors, "Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment" University of Chicago Press (2009) M3 - presented at "Retirement Research", October 19-22, 2006 AB - Demographic change can have an important effect on the stock of assets held in defined benefit pension plans. This paper projects the impact of changes in the age structure of the U.S. population between 2005 and 2040 on the stock of assets held by these plans. It projects the contributions to and withdrawals from these plans. These projections are combined with estimates of the future evolution of assets in 401(k)-like plans to describe the prospective impact of demographic change on the stock of assets in retirement plans. Information on demography-linked changes in asset demand is a critical input to evaluating the potential impact of population aging on asset returns. ER -