@techreport{NBERw12810, title = "Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies", author = "Markus K. Brunnermeier and Christian Julliard", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "12810", year = "2006", month = "December", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w12810", abstract = {A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example, investors who decide whether to rent or buy a house by simply comparing monthly rent and mortgage payments do not take into account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We decompose the price-rent ratio in a rational component -- meant to capture the proxy effect and risk premia -- and an implied mispricing. We find that inflation and nominal interest rates explain a large share of the time-series variation of the mispricing, and that the tilt effect is unlikely to rationalize this finding.}, }