@techreport{NBERw1277, title = "Monetarist Rules in the Light of Recent Experience", author = "Bennett T. McCallum", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "1277", year = "1984", month = "February", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w1277", abstract = {Recent experience does not include a "monetarist experiment," as some have argued, but may slightly reinforce preexisting reasons for doubting that the best way of formulating monetarist policy prescriptions is in the form of a constant growth rule for the money stock.A more desirable rule would pertain to the monetary base, which is much more directly under Fed control. While a constant base growth rule might provide good macroeconomic performance, better results should be obtainable from a rule that at regular intervals adjusts the base growth rate upward or downward depending on whether nominal GNP is below or above a target path that specifies constant, non-inflationary growth for that variable. This type of rule is activist, to an extent, but is non-discretionary.The implied absence of policy-making flexibility is desirable for reasons explained in the literature on dynamic inconsistency.}, }