TY - JOUR AU - Cogan,John F. AU - Hubbard,R. Glenn AU - Kessler,Daniel P. TI - Evaluating Effects of Tax Preferences on Health Care Spending and Federal Revenues JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12733 PY - 2006 Y2 - December 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12733 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12733.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John Cogan Hoover Institution Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305 Tel: NA E-Mail: cogan@stanford.edu R. Glenn Hubbard Graduate School of Business Columbia University, 101 Uris Hall 3022 Broadway New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212/854-3493 Fax: 212/864-6184 E-Mail: rgh1@columbia.edu, ws2187@columbia.edu Daniel Kessler Hoover Institution Stanford University 434 Galvez Mall Stanford, CA 94305 Tel: 650/723-0596 E-Mail: fkessler@stanford.edu M3 - presented at "Tax Policy & the Economy", September 14, 2006 AB - In this paper, we calculate the consequences for health spending and federal revenues of an above-the-line deduction for out-of-pocket health spending. We show how the response of spending to this expansion in the tax preference can be specified as a function of a small number of behavioral parameters that have been estimated in the existing literature. We compare our estimates to those from other researchers. And, we use our analysis to derive some implications for tax policy toward HSAs. ER -