TY - JOUR AU - Jenter,Dirk AU - Lewellen,Katharina AU - Warner,Jerold B. TI - Security Issue Timing: What Do Managers Know, and When Do They Know It? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12724 PY - 2006 Y2 - December 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12724 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12724.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Dirk Jenter Stanford University Graduate School of Business 655 Knight Way Stanford, CA 94305-5015 Tel: 650/498-4411 E-Mail: djenter@stanford.edu Katharina Lewellen Tuck School at Dartmouth 100 Tuck Hall Hanover, NH 03755 E-Mail: katharina.lewellen@tuck.dartmouth.edu Jerold B. Warner William E. Simon Graduate School of Business Admin University of Rochester Carol Simon Hall, Wilson Boulevard Rochester, NY 14627 E-Mail: warner@simon.rochester.edu AB - We study put option sales undertaken by corporations during their repurchase programs. Put sales' main theoretical motivation is market timing, providing an excellent framework for studying whether security issues reflect managers' ability to identify mispricing. Our evidence is that these bets reflect timing ability, and are not simply a result of overconfidence. In the 100 days following put option issues, there is roughly a 5% abnormal stock price return, and the abnormal return is concentrated around the first earnings release date following put option sales. Longer term effects are generally not detected. Put sales also appear to reflect successful bets on the direction of stock price volatility. ER -