TY - JOUR AU - Mobius,Markus AU - Schoenle,Raphael TI - The Evolution of Work JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12694 PY - 2006 Y2 - November 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12694 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12694.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Markus Mobius Department of Economics Iowa State University 460A Heady Hall Ames, IA 50011 Tel: (515) 257-6233 Fax: (515) 294-0221 E-Mail: mobius@fas.harvard.edu Raphael Schoenle Brandeis University Department of Economics Mail Stop 021 415 South Street Waltham, MA 02454 http://people.brandeis.edu/~schoenle/ E-Mail: schoenle@brandeis.edu AB - The division of labor first increased during industrialization and then decreased again after 1970 as job roles have expanded. We explain these trends in the organization of work through a simple model where (a) machines require standardization to exploit economies of scale and (b) more customized products are subject to trends and fashions which make production tasks less predictable and a strict division of labor impractical. At the onset of industrialization, the market supports only a small number of generic varieties which can be mass-produced under a strict division of labor. Thanks to productivity growth, niche markets gradually expand, producers eventually move into customized production and the division of labor decreases again. The model predicts capital-skill substitutability during industrialization and capital skill complementarity in the maturing industrial economy. Moreover, conventional calculations of the factor content of trade underestimate the impact of globalization because they do not take into account changes in product market competition induced by trade. We test our model by exploiting the time-lags in the introduction of bar-coding in three-digit SIC manufacturing industries in the US. We find that both increases in investments in computers and bar-coding have led to skill-upgrading. However, consistent with our model bar-coding has affected mainly the center of the skill distribution by shifting demand away from the high-school educated to the less-than-college educated. ER -