@techreport{NBERw12673, title = "Euros and Zeros: The Common Currency Effect on Trade in New Goods", author = "Richard E. Baldwin and Virginia Di Nino", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "12673", year = "2006", month = "November", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w12673", abstract = {This paper tests whether trade in new goods is partially responsible for the pro-trade effects of the euro and provides a measure of the size of the effect. It works with a very large data set (about 16 million observations) covering twenty countries at the most disaggregated level of trade data that is publicly available. Using predictions from a heterogeneous-firms trade model in a multi-country environment to structure our empirical model, we find that the euro had a positive impact on trade overall. Our findings provide supportive but not conclusive evidence for the new-goods hypothesis. We also determined the pro-trade effect of euro-usage on non-Euroland nations trading with euro-users. We confirmed the absence of trade diversion for non-Eurozone EU members with sizeable overall increase comparable to that of members.}, }