@techreport{NBERw12660, title = "Thin-Slice Forecasts of Gubernatorial Elections", author = "Daniel J. Benjamin and Jesse M. Shapiro", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "12660", year = "2006", month = "November", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w12660", }