TY - JOUR AU - Taylor,Alan M. AU - Wilson,Janine L. F. TI - International Trade and Finance under the Two Hegemons: Complementaries in the United Kingdom 1870-1913 and the United States 1920-30 JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12543 PY - 2006 Y2 - September 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12543 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12543.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Alan M. Taylor Department of Economics University of Virginia Monroe Hall Charlottesville, VA 22903 Fax: (434) 982-2904 E-Mail: alan.m.taylor@virginia.edu Janine L. F.. Wilson Department of Economics University of Caifornia Davis, CA 95616 E-Mail: jlflathmann@ucdavis.edu AB - Do international trade and finance flow together? In theory, trade and finance can be substitutes or complements, so the matter must be resolved empirically. We study trade and financial flows from the United Kingdom from 1870 to 1913 and the United States in the interwar years. Trade and finance are robustly correlated, even after allowing for simultaneity. Evidence from the British Empire casts doubt on the idea that trade is a punishment device in the event of a default. ER -