TY - JOUR AU - Brown,Jeffrey R. AU - Coe,Norma B. AU - Finkelstein,Amy TI - Medicaid Crowd-Out of Private Long-Term Care Insurance Demand: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Survey JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12536 PY - 2006 Y2 - September 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12536 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12536.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jeffrey Brown Department of Finance University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 515 East Gregory Drive Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217/333-3322 E-Mail: brownjr@illinois.edu Norma B. Coe Center for Retirement Research at Boston College 140 Commonwealth Ave Chestnut Hill, MA 02467-3808 E-Mail: norma.coe.1@bc.edu Amy Finkelstein Department of Economics MIT E52-274C 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142 Tel: 617/253-4149 Fax: 617/868-2742 E-Mail: afink@mit.edu M1 - published as Jeffrey R. Brown, Norma B. Coe, Amy Finkelstein. "Medicaid Crowd-Out of Private Long-Term Care Insurance Demand: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Survey," in James M. Poterba, editor, "Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 21" MIT Press (2007) AB - This paper provides empirical evidence of Medicaid crowd out of demand for private long-term care insurance. Using data on the near- and young-elderly in the Health and Retirement Survey, our central estimate suggests that a $10,000 decrease in the level of assets an individual can keep while qualifying for Medicaid would increase private long-term care insurance coverage by 1.1 percentage points. These estimates imply that if every state in the country moved from their current Medicaid asset eligibility requirements to the most stringent Medicaid eligibility requirements allowed by federal law – a change that would decrease average household assets protected by Medicaid by about $25,000 – demand for private long-term care insurance would rise by 2.7 percentage points. While this represents a 30 percent increase in insurance coverage relative to the baseline ownership rate of 9.1 percent, it also indicates that the vast majority of households would still find it unattractive to purchase private insurance. We discuss reasons why, even with extremely stringent eligibility requirements, Medicaid may still exert a large crowd-out effect on demand for private insurance. ER -