TY - JOUR AU - Kunreuther,Howard AU - Pauly,Mark TI - Rules Rather Than Discretion: Lessons from Hurricane Katrina JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12503 PY - 2006 Y2 - August 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12503 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12503.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Howard Kunreuther Operations and Information Management The Wharton School University of Pennsylvania 3730 Walnut Street, 500 JMHH Philadelphia, PA 19104-6366 Tel: 215/898-4589 Fax: 215/573-2130 E-Mail: kunreuther@wharton.upenn.edu Mark Pauly Department of Health Care Management University of Pennsylvania 208 Colonial Penn Center 3641 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104-6218 Tel: NA Fax: NA E-Mail: pauly@wharton.upenn.edu AB - This paper explores options for programs to be put in place prior to a disaster to avoid large and often poorly-managed expenditures following a catastrophe and to provide appropriate protection against the risk of those large losses which do occur. The lack of interest in insurance protection and mitigation by property owners and by public sector agencies prior to a disaster often creates major problems following a catastrophic event for victims and the government. Property owners who suffer severe damage may not have the financial resources easily at hand to rebuild their property and hence will demand relief. The government is then likely to respond with costly but poorly targeted disaster assistance. To avoid these large and often uneven ex post expenditures, we consider the option of mandatory comprehensive private disaster insurance with risk based rates. It may be more efficient to have an ex ante public program to ensure coverage of catastrophic losses and to subsidize low income residents who cannot afford coverage rather than the current largely ex post public disaster relief program. ER -