TY - JOUR AU - Philippon,Thomas TI - The Bond Market's q JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12462 PY - 2006 Y2 - August 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12462 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12462.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Thomas Philippon New York University Stern School of Business 44 West 4th Street, Suite 9-190 New York, NY 10012-1126 Tel: 212/998-0490 Fax: 212/995-4233 E-Mail: tphilipp@stern.nyu.edu AB - I propose an implementation of the q-theory of investment using bond prices instead of equity prices. Credit risk makes corporate bond prices sensitive to future asset values, and q can be inferred from bond prices. The bond market's q performs much better than the usual measure in standard investment equations. With aggregate data, the fit is three times better, cash flows are driven out and the implied adjustment costs are reduced by more than an order of magnitude. The new measure also improves firm level investment equations. ER -