TY - JOUR AU - Bhattacharya,Jayanta AU - Vogt,William B. TI - Employment and Adverse Selection in Health Insurance JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12430 PY - 2006 Y2 - August 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12430 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12430.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jay Bhattacharya 117 Encina Commons Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6019 Tel: 650/736-0404 Fax: 650/723-1919 E-Mail: jay@stanford.edu William B. Vogt Senior Economist RAND Corporation 4570 Fifth Ave Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Tel: 412.683.2300 X4902 Fax: NA E-Mail: william.b.vogt@gmail.com AB - We construct and test a new model of employer-provided health insurance provision in the presence of adverse selection in the health insurance market. In our model, employers cannot observe the health of their employees, but can decide whether to offer insurance. Employees sort themselves among employers who do and do not offer insurance on the basis of their current health status and the probability distribution over future health status changes. We show that there exists a pooling equilibrium in which both sick and healthy employees are covered as long as the costs of job switching are higher than the persistence of health status. We test and verify some of the key implications of our model using data from the Current Population Survey, linked to information provided by the U.S. Department of Labor about the job-specific human capital requirements of jobs. ER -