TY - JOUR AU - Comin,Diego AU - Hobiijn,Bart TI - An Exploration of Technology Diffusion JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12314 PY - 2006 Y2 - June 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12314 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12314.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Diego A. Comin Harvard Business School Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-5011 E-Mail: dcomin@hbs.edu Bart Hobijn Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Research Department, Mailstop 1130 101 Market Street, 11th floor San Francisco, CA 94105 Tel: 415 974 2314 Fax: 415 974 2168 E-Mail: bart.hobijn@sf.frb.org M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2006-06-19 AB - We develop and estimate a model where technology diffusion depends on the level of productivity embodied in capital and where this is, in turn, determined by two key mechanisms: the rate at which the quality embodied in new technology vintages increases (embodiment) and the gains from varieties induced by the introduction of new vintages (variety). In our model, these two effects are related to technology adoption decisions taken at two different levels. The capital goods suppliers%u2019 decisions of when to adopt a given vintage determines the embodiment margin. The workers%u2019 decisions of which of the adopted vintages to use in production determines the variety margin. Estimation of our model for a sample of 19 technologies, 21 countries, and the period 1870-1998 reveals that embodied productivity growth is large for many of the technologies in our sample. On average, increases in the variety of vintages available is a more important source of growth than the increases in the embodiment margin. There is, however, substantial heterogeneity across technologies. Where adoption lags matter, they are largely determined by lack of educational attainment and lack of trade openness. ER -