TY - JOUR AU - Kalemli-Ozcan,Sebnem TI - AIDS, "Reversal" of the Demographic Transition and Economic Development: Evidence from Africa JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12181 PY - 2006 Y2 - May 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12181 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12181.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan Department of Economics University of Maryland Tydings Hall 4118D College Park, MD 20742-7211 Tel: 301/405-3266 E-Mail: kalemli@econ.umd.edu AB - Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within estimates are insignificant in most of the specifications. ER -