@techreport{NBERw12181, title = "AIDS, "Reversal" of the Demographic Transition and Economic Development: Evidence from Africa", author = "Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "12181", year = "2006", month = "May", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w12181", abstract = {Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within estimates are insignificant in most of the specifications.}, }