TY - JOUR AU - Weil,David N. TI - Population Aging JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12147 PY - 2006 Y2 - April 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12147 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12147.pdf N1 - Author contact info: David N. Weil Department of Economics Box B Brown University Providence, RI 02912 Tel: 401/863-1754 Fax: 401/863-1970 E-Mail: david_weil@brown.edu AB - Population aging is primarily the result of past declines in fertility, which produced a decades long period in which the ratio of dependents to working age adults was reduced. Rising old-age dependency in many countries represents the inevitable passing of this %u201Cdemographic dividend.%u201D Societies use three methods to transfer resources to people in dependent age groups: government, family, and personal saving. In developed countries, families are predominant in supporting children, while government is the main source of support for the elderly. The most important means by which aging will affect aggregate output is the distortion from taxes to fund PAYGO pensions. ER -