TY - JOUR AU - Robinson,James A. AU - Torvik,Ragnar TI - A Political Economy Theory of the Soft Budget Constraint JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12133 PY - 2006 Y2 - April 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12133 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12133.pdf N1 - Author contact info: James A. Robinson Harvard University Department of Government N309, 1737 Cambridge Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-2839 Fax: 617/495-0438 E-Mail: jrobinson@gov.harvard.edu Ragnar Torvik Norwegian University of Science and Technology Department of Economics N-7491 Trondheim Norway E-Mail: ragnar.torvik@svt.ntnu.no AB - Why do soft budget constraints exist and persist? In this paper we argue that the prevalence of soft budget constraints can be best explained by the political desirability of softness. We develop a political economy model where politicians cannot commit to policies that are not ex post optimal. We show that because of the dynamic commitment problem inherent in the soft budget constraint, politicians can in essence commit to make transfers to entrepreneurs which otherwise they would not be able to do. This encourages such entrepreneurs to vote for them. Though the soft budget constraint may induce economic inefficiency, it may be politically rational because it influences the outcomes of elections. In consequence, even when information is complete, politicians may fund bad projects which they anticipate they will have to bail out in the future. ER -