TY - JOUR AU - Wolfers,Justin AU - Zitzewitz,Eric TI - Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12060 PY - 2006 Y2 - February 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12060 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12060.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Justin Wolfers Business and Public Policy Department Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania 3620 Locust Walk Room 1456 Steinberg-Deitrich Hall Philadelphia, PA 19104-6372 Tel: (215) 898-3013 Fax: (215) 898-7635 E-Mail: jwolfers@wharton.upenn.edu Eric Zitzewitz Department of Economics Dartmouth College 6106 Rockefeller Hall Hanover, NH 03755 Tel: 603/646-2891 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: eric.zitzewitz@dartmouth.edu AB - Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management -- in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature, and we argue that resolving these questions is crucial to determining whether current optimism about prediction markets will be realized. ER -