TY - JOUR AU - Bajari,Patrick AU - Houghton,Stephanie AU - Tadelis,Steve TI - Bidding for Incomplete Contracts: An Empirical Analysis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12051 PY - 2006 Y2 - February 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12051 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12051.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Patrick Bajari University of Washington 331 Savery Hall UW Economics Box 353330 Seattle, Washington 98195-3330 E-Mail: Bajari@uw.edu Stephanie Houghton Texas A&M University TAMU 4228 College Station, TX 77843-4228 Tel: 979-845-8685 Fax: 979-847-8757 E-Mail: houghton@econmail.tamu.edu Steven Tadelis UC Berkeley Haas School of Business Berkeley, CA 94720-1900 eBay Research Labs 2065 Hamilton Ave San Jose, CA 94125 Tel: (510) 643-0546 Fax: (510) 642-4700 E-Mail: stadelis@haas.berkeley.edu AB - Procurement contracts are often incomplete because the initial plans and specifications are changed and refined after the contract is awarded to the lowest bidder. This results in a final cost to the buyer that differs from the low bid, and may also involve significant adaptation and renegotiation costs. We propose a stylized model of bidding for incomplete contracts and apply it to data from highway paving contracts. Reduced form regressions suggest that bidders respond strategically to contractual incompleteness and that adaptation costs, broadly defined, are an important determinant of the observed bids. We then estimate the costs of adaptation and bidder markups using a structural auction model. The estimates suggest that adaptation costs on average account for about ten percent of the winning bid. The distortions from private information and local market power, which are the focus on much of the literature on optimal procurement mechanisms, are much smaller by comparison. ER -