TY - JOUR AU - Heckman,James J. AU - LaFontaine,Paul TI - Bias Corrected Estimates of GED Returns JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12018 PY - 2006 Y2 - February 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12018 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12018.pdf N1 - Author contact info: James J. Heckman Department of Economics The University of Chicago 1126 E. 59th Street Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-0634 Fax: 773/702-8490 E-Mail: jheckman@uchicago.edu M1 - published as Heckman, James J. and Paul A. LaFontaine. "Bias-Corrected Estimates Of GED Returns," Journal of Labor Economics, 2006, v24(3,Jul), 661-800. AB - Using three sources of data, this paper examines the direct economic return to GED certification for both native and immigrant high school dropouts. One data source %u2013 the CPS %u2013 is plagued by non-response and allocation bias from the hot-deck procedure that biases upward the estimated return to the GED. Correcting for allocation bias and ability bias, there is no direct economic return to GED certification. An apparent return to GED certification with age found in the raw CPS data is due to dropouts becoming more skilled over time. These results apply to native born as well as immigrant populations. ER -