TY - JOUR AU - Carlson,Murray AU - Khokher,Zeigham AU - Titman,Sheridan TI - Equilibrium Exhaustible Resource Price Dynamics JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12000 PY - 2006 Y2 - February 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12000 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12000.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Murray Carlson Sauder School of Business University of British Columbia 2053 Main Mall Vancouver, BC v6T1Z2 E-Mail: murray.carlson@sauder.ubc.ca Zeigham Khokher Sheridan Titman Finance Department McCombs School of Business University of Texas at Austin Austin, TX 78712-1179 Tel: 512/232-2787 Fax: 512/471-5073 E-Mail: titman@mail.utexas.edu AB - We develop equilibrium models of an exhaustible resource market where both prices and extraction choices are determined endogenously. Our analysis highlights a role for adjustment costs in generating price dynamics that are consistent with observed oil and gas forward prices as well as with the two-factor prices processes that were calibrated in Schwartz and Smith (2000). Stochastic volatility aries in our two-factor model as a natural consequence of production for oil and natural gas prices. Differences between the endogenous price processes considered in earlier papers can generate significant differences in both financial and real option values. ER -