TY - JOUR AU - Abraham,Katharine G. AU - Medoff,James L. TI - Years of Service and Probability of Promotion JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 1191 PY - 1983 Y2 - August 1983 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w1191 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w1191.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Katharine G. Abraham Joint Program in Survey Methodology 1218 LeFrak Hall University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742 Tel: 301/405-1004 Fax: 301/314-7912 E-Mail: kabraham@survey.umd.edu James L. Medoff Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center 115 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-4209 E-Mail: jmedoff@harvard.edu AB - This study provides evidence which we believe challenges some conventional assumptions about the promotion process. Based on survey information collected from a large random sample of U.S. private sector firms, we reach two main conclusions. First,seniority independent of productivity appears to play a significant role even in nonunion promotion decisions. Second, the differences between union and nonunion promotion processes, at least with regard to the weight assigned to seniority per se, appear to be important but less dramatic than is popularly supposed. ER -