TY - JOUR AU - Kacperczyk,Marcin AU - Sialm,Clemens AU - Zheng,Lu TI - Unobserved Actions of Mutual Funds JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11766 PY - 2005 Y2 - November 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11766 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11766.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Marcin Kacperczyk Stern School of Business New York University 44 West 4th Street KMC 9-190 New York, NY 10012 Tel: 212/998-0924 E-Mail: mkacperc@stern.nyu.edu Clemens Sialm University of Texas at Austin McCombs School of Business 1 University Station; B6600 Austin, TX 78712 Tel: 512-232-6835 E-Mail: clemens.sialm@mccombs.utexas.edu Lu Zheng School of Business Administration University of Michigan 701 Tappan Street Ann Arbor, MI 48109 Tel: 734/763-5392 E-Mail: no email available AB - Despite extensive disclosure requirements, mutual fund investors do not observe all actions of fund managers. We estimate the impact of unobserved actions on fund returns using the return gap, which is defined as the difference between the reported fund return and the return of a portfolio that invests in the previously disclosed holdings after adjusting for expenses. Analyzing monthly return data on more than 2,500 unique U.S. equity funds over the period 1984-2003, we document a substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity and time-series persistence in the return gap, thus demonstrating that unobserved actions of some funds persistently create value, while such actions of others destroy value. Most important, we show that the return gap helps to predict future fund performance and conclude that fund investors should use the return gap as an additional measure to evaluate the performance of mutual funds. ER -