TY - JOUR AU - Chetty,Raj AU - Looney,Adam TI - Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Consequences of Social Insurance in Developing Economies JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11709 PY - 2005 Y2 - October 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11709 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11709.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Raj Chetty Department of Economics Harvard University 1805 Cambridge St. Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617-744-9492 E-Mail: chetty@fas.harvard.edu Adam Looney The Brookings Institution 1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW Washington, DC 20036 E-Mail: alooney@brookings.edu AB - Studies of risk in developing economies have focused on consumption fluctuations as a measure of the value of insurance. A common view in the literature is that the welfare costs of risk and benefits of social insurance are small if income shocks do not cause large consumption fluctuations. We present a simple model showing that this conclusion is incorrect if the consumption path is smooth because individuals are highly risk averse. Empirical studies find that many households in developing countries rely on inefficient methods to smooth consumption, suggesting that they are indeed quite risk averse. Hence, social safety nets may be valuable in low-income economies even when consumption is not very sensitive to shocks. ER -