TY - JOUR AU - Abraham,Jean M. AU - Gaynor,Martin S. AU - Vogt,William B. TI - Entry and Competition in Local Hospital Markets JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11649 PY - 2005 Y2 - October 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11649 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11649.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jean Abraham Department of Health Policy and Management University of Minnesota 20 Delaware St SE MMC 729 Minneapolis, MN 55455 E-Mail: abrah042@umn.edu Martin Gaynor Heinz College Carnegie Mellon University 4800 Forbes Avenue,,Room 3008 Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890 Tel: 412/268-7933 Fax: 412/268-5338 E-Mail: mgaynor@cmu.edu William B. Vogt 513 Brooks Hall Department of Economics Terry College of Business University of Georgia Athens, GA 30602 Tel: 706-542-3970 Fax: 706-542-3376 E-Mail: william.b.vogt@gmail.com M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2005-10-03 AB - There has been considerable consolidation in the hospital industry in recent years. Over 900 deals occurred from 1994-2000, and many local markets, even in large urban areas, have been reduced to monopolies, duopolies, or triopolies. This surge in consolidation has led to concern about competition in local markets for hospital services. We examine the effect of market structure on competition in local hospital markets -- specifically, does the hardness of competition increase with the number of firms? We extend the entry model developed by Bresnahan and Reiss to make use of quantity information, and apply it to data on the U.S. hospital industry. In the hospital markets we examine, entry leads to a quick convergence to competitive conduct. Entry reduces variable profits and increases quantity. Most of the effects of entry come from having a second and a third firm enter the market. The fourth entrant has little estimated effect. The use of quantity information allows us to infer that entry is consumer-surplus-increasing. ER -