@techreport{NBERw1162, title = "On Low-Frequency Estimates of "Long-Run" Relationships in Macro- economics", author = "Bennett T. McCallum", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "1162", year = "1984", month = "December", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w1162", abstract = {A number of recent studies have attempted to test propositions concerning "long runt" economic relationships by means of frequency-domain time series techniques that concentrate attention on low frequency co-movements of variables.The present paper emphasizes that many of these propositions involve expectational relationships that are not inherently related to specific frequencies or periodicities. Thus the association of low-frequency time series test statistics with long-run economic propositions is not generally warranted. That such an association can be misleading is demonstrated by analysis of examples taken from notable papers by Geweke, Lucas, and Summers.}, }