TY - JOUR AU - Caselli,Francesco AU - Feyrer,James TI - The Marginal Product of Capital JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11551 PY - 2005 Y2 - August 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11551 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11551.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Francesco Caselli Department of Economics London School of Economics Houghton Street London WC2A 2AE UNITED KINGDOM Tel: (44) (0) 2079557498 E-Mail: f.caselli@lse.ac.uk James Feyrer Department of Economics Dartmouth College 6106 Rockefeller Hall Hanover, NH 03755-3514 Tel: 603/646-2533 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: james.feyrer@dartmouth.edu AB - Whether or not the marginal product of capital (MPK) differs across countries is a question that keeps coming up in discussions of comparative economic development and patterns of capital flows. Attempts to provide an empirical answer to this question have so far been mostly indirect and based on heroic assumptions. The first contribution of this paper is to present new estimates of the cross-country dispersion of marginal products. We find that the MPK is much higher on average in poor countries. However, the financial rate of return from investing in physical capital is not much higher in poor countries, so heterogeneity in MPKs is not principally due to financial market frictions. Instead, the main culprit is the relatively high cost of investment goods in developing countries. One implication of our findings is that increased aid flows to developing countries will not significantly increase these countries' incomes. ER -