TY - JOUR AU - Rajan,Raghuram G. AU - Subramanian,Arvind TI - Aid and Growth: What Does the Cross-Country Evidence Really Show? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11513 PY - 2005 Y2 - August 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11513 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11513.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Raghuram Rajan Booth School of Business University of Chicago 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-4437 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: raghuram.rajan@ChicagoBooth.edu Arvind Subramanian Peterson Institute for International Economics 1750 Massachusetts Ave, NW Washington, DC 20036 E-Mail: asubramanian@piie.com M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2005-08-01 AB - We examine the effects of aid on growth--in cross-sectional and panel data--after correcting for the bias that aid typically goes to poorer countries, or to countries after poor performance. Even after thiscorrection, we find little robust evidence of a positive (or negative) relationship between aid inflows into a country and its economic growth. We also find no evidence that aid works better in better policy or geographical environments, or that certain forms of aid work better than others. Our findings, which relate to the past, do not imply that aid cannot be beneficial in the future. But they do suggest that for aid to be effective in the future, the aid apparatus will have to be rethought. Our findings raise the question: what aspects of aid offset what ought to be the indisputable growth enhancing effects of resource transfers? Thus, our findings support efforts under way at national and international levels to understand and improve aid effectiveness. ER -